Prime rate in Canada
Key Takeaways
1. Canada's prime rate as of today is currently at 5.95%, influenced by the Bank of Canada's policy interest rate, also known as the target for the overnight rate.
2. The prime rate impacts variable loans and lines of credit, including variable-rate mortgages. When the Bank of Canada changes its overnight rate, lenders typically adjust their prime rates accordingly.
3. The housing market saw renewed activity in September, with home sales increasing by 30% year-over-year. This surge is largely driven by the Bank of Canada's four consecutive rate cuts this year, and further rate cuts expected in 2025 are likely to keep buyer demand strong in the coming months.
The prime rate in Canada today, December 11, 2024, is currently 5.95%. The prime rate, also known as the prime lending rate, is the annual interest rate Canada’s major banks and financial institutions use to set interest rates for variable loans and lines of credit, including variable-rate mortgages.
Prime rate vs. Bank of Canada target for the overnight rate
Canada Prime Rate Changes: 2010 - 2024
| Effective Date | Prime Rate | Change |
| October 23, 2024 | 5.95% | -0.50% |
| September 4, 2024 | 6.45% | -0.25% |
| July 24, 2024 | 6.70% | -0.25% |
| June 5, 2024 | 6.95% | -0.25% |
| July 12, 2023 | 7.20% | 0.25% |
| June 8, 2023 | 6.95% | 0.25% |
| January 25, 2023 | 6.70% | 0.25% |
| December 8, 2022 | 6.45% | 0.50% |
| October 27, 2022 | 5.95% | 0.50% |
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The prime rate is primarily influenced by the policy interest rate set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), also known as the BoC's target for the overnight rate. While these rates are not the same, they are closely related. When the Bank of Canada changes the target for the overnight rate, lenders will generally adjust their prime rates within a few days.
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What is the prime rate?
When you apply for a loan with a variable interest rate, your lender will give you an annual interest rate that’s tied to the bank’s prime rate. All kinds of loans are based on this rate, including certain mortgages, car loans, personal lines of credit, and even some credit cards. Think of the prime rate as the anchor these other interest rates are based on. As the prime rate in Canada moves up or down, so too does the rate of interest you pay on your loan.
WATCH: October 23, 2024 Bank of Canada announcement
November 2024: Mortgage market update
It is widely expected that Canada's prime rate will continue to lower throughout the remainder of 2024 and into 2025, in tandem with anticipated rate cuts to the Bank of Canada's (BoC) Overnight Lending Rate.
The central bank has already enacted four rate cuts from June to October this year, bringing its trend-setting benchmark rate down by a cumulative 125 basis points, currently at 3.75%. Given inflation in Canada has now fallen to 1.6%, below the BoC's target range of 2%, it's expected that at least one more cut will come in December 2024, with potentially another four to five next year. While it's difficult to predict what size these rate cuts will be, Canada's prime rate could fall below 5% in 2025.
- Real estate update: On November 15, 2024, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) reported a significant rebound in October housing market activity. A total of 44,041 homes were sold across Canada, marking a 30% year-over-year increase and a 7.7% rise from September. Strong sales activity was concentrated in major markets like the Greater Toronto Area (+43.3%) and British Columbia’s Lower Mainland (+32.4%). This surge follows the Bank of Canada’s four rate cuts since June, including an extra-large 50-basis-point reduction in late October, which have made borrowing costs more favorable for buyers. New listings decreased by 3.5% in October compared to September, but the overall supply was 11.4% higher than the same period last year. The rising demand caused the national sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) to climb sharply to 58%, indicating intensified buyer competition. The national average home price climbed 6% year-over-year to $696,166, while the MLS Home Price Index showed prices largely flat compared to earlier this year. CREA expects continued growth through winter as interest rates decline further, setting the stage for a competitive spring market.
Read more: National home sales rise 30% in October
- CPI update: Statistics Canada’s latest report, which was released on November 19, 2024, reveals inflation ticked up to 2% in October, after September’s 1.6% reading. The rebound is driven largely by slower gas price declines (-4% vs. -10.7% in September) and persistent food inflation, which rose 2.7% year-over-year, marking its third consecutive monthly increase. While overall consumer prices grew, shelter inflation showed relief for homeowners and renters. Mortgage interest costs slowed to a 14.7% year-over-year increase, down from the previous month’s 16.7%. This reflects the impact of four rate cuts by the Bank of Canada since June, which have brought its benchmark rate to 3.75%. Rent growth also decelerated, rising 7.3% compared to 8.2% the prior month. Despite the CPI increase, analysts expect the Bank of Canada to continue rate cuts at its December 11 announcement, though at a measured pace. Core inflation indicators, including CPI Median and CPI Trim, rose slightly, suggesting a more cautious approach with a likely 25-basis-point reduction. As the broader inflation trend remains stable, the central bank has leeway to prioritize economic growth while keeping inflation within its target range.
November 2024 Fed rate cut announcement: Key insights
On November 7, 2024, the US Federal Reserve announced a quarter-point reduction in its benchmark interest rate, marking its second consecutive cut since September. This latest decision is part of the Fed's ongoing efforts to manage inflation, which has fallen from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to 2.4% as of September 2024.
Looking ahead, the Fed's rate-cutting strategy faces uncertainty, particularly with the recent US Federal Election. President Elect Donald Trump's proposed economic policies may reignite inflation. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis, with a focus on maintaining employment and price stability.
The impact of the Fed's rate cut extends beyond US borders, significantly influencing Canadian markets. Following the announcement, US bond yields — particularly the 10-year Treasury note — rose sharply, indicating higher borrowing costs ahead. Consequently, the government of Canada’s five-year bond yield also climbed above 3%, suggesting that fixed mortgage rates in Canada are likely to increase. This trend could result in higher costs for homeowners and potential buyers, affecting their borrowing decisions.
As both the Canadian and US economies navigate this period of volatility, borrowers are advised to stay prepared for fluctuating interest rates in the coming months.
Also read: US Federal Reserve cuts rate by 0.25% in November announcement
Canadian mortgage reform update
On September 16, 2024, the federal government announced sweeping changes to mortgage qualification rules for first-time home buyers, as well as those purchasing newly-constructed homes.
As of December 15, 2024:
- 30-year amortizations will be available for all first-time home buyers, regardless of whether they have an insured mortgage. These extended amortizations are also available for any purchase of new construction.
- The maximum purchase price for an insured mortgage (where less than 20% down is paid) will be increased to $1.5 million, from the current $1 million.
These are some of the most impactful mortgage reforms announced since 2012, and are anticipated to increase first-time home buyers’ affordability and access to the housing market.
Learn more about these new mortgage rule changes on the Ratehub.ca blog
How is the prime rate set in Canada?
Each bank sets its own prime rate, but the Big Five Banks usually all have the same prime rate. The prime rate is primarily influenced by the policy interest rate set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), also known as the BoC's target for the overnight rate. When the BoC raises the overnight rate, it becomes more expensive for banks to borrow money, and they raise their respective prime rates to cover the added costs. Conversely when the BoC lowers the overnight rate, banks usually lower their prime rates by the same amount.
Is the prime rate going up in Canada?
From early 2022 to the first half of 2023, the prime rate steadily increased in response to the Bank of Canada’s efforts to control high inflation. During this period, the Bank of Canada implemented a series of 10 rate hikes, pushing its Overnight Lending Rate to 5% by mid-2023. This resulted in the prime rate rising to 7.2%.
However, the trend started reversing in 2024. By October 23, 2024, the Bank had implemented four consecutive rate cuts, reducing the benchmark rate from 5% to 3.75% — a total reduction of 125 basis points. These cuts were driven by falling inflation, with Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropping to 1.6%, well below the BoC’s target of 2%.
As a result of these cuts, the prime rate will fall to 5.95%, providing much-needed relief to borrowers.
How does the prime rate affect mortgage rates in Canada?
There are two main types of mortgage rates in Canada – fixed and variable. When you get a fixed mortgage rate, you agree to pay the same rate over the entire course of your mortgage term regardless of what happens in the outside market. Fixed mortgages are a good option if you’re worried mortgage rates will go up, or if you want to enjoy the stability of paying the same mortgage rate until it’s time to renew.
When you get a variable mortgage rate, the rate will be expressed as the prime rate plus or minus a certain percentage. When the prime rate in Canada goes up or down, your mortgage rate will go up or down by the same amount. Variable mortgages usually come with a lower rate vs. fixed-rate mortgages when you sign up, but there’s the risk that the rate could go up (or down) during your mortgage term. Many lenders will allow you to convert a variable-rate mortgage to a fixed-rate mortgage at any time, but you will have to pay the fixed rate as of the time you decide to switch.
Let’s look at an example. If the prime rate is 3.0%, and you get a variable-rate mortgage at prime minus 0.8%, your effective interest rate will be 2.2%.
Example 1: Your original mortgage rate
prime rate - discount to prime rate = your mortgage rate
3.00% - 0.80% = 2.20%
The prime rate can rise and fall over time, and variable-rate loans will rise and fall with it. To continue this example, if the prime rate were to increase by 0.25% to 3.25%, the interest rate on your mortgage would rise by the same amount, to 2.45%.
Example 2: Your new rate after prime rate increases during your mortgage term
new prime rate - discount to prime rate = your new mortgage rate
3.25% - 0.80% = 2.45% (new mortgage rate)