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5-year variable mortgage rates in Canada

To see mortgage rates for other terms and types, click on the filters icon beside down payment percentage.

Ratehub.ca Insights: Bond yields have fallen further in the wake of the Bank of Canada's quarter-point rate cut on Wednesday, and some lenders have reduced their fixed rates. Downward pressure remains on fixed mortgage rates. Getting a pre-approval is recommended when shopping to lock in a rate for up to 120 days. Variable mortgage rates are stable.

Transaction type

Rate type

Purchase price

Down payment $

Rate term

Amortization

Occupancy

Payment frequency

Rate	Provider	Payment
	Canadian Lender	^$2,401
	Canwise A Ratehub Company	^$2,435
	CMLS Financial	^$2,447
	Big 6 Bank	^$2,470
	First National	^$2,470
	Equitable Bank	^$2,482
	TD Bank	^$2,491
	CIBC	^$2,505
	MCAP	^$2,517
	Desjardins	^$2,540
	Alterna Savings	^$2,540
	Scotiabank	^$2,552
	Bank of Montreal	^$2,554
	Meridian Credit Union	^$2,576
	ICICI Bank Canada	^$2,695
	motusbank	^$2,707
	RBC Royal Bank	^$2,573
	Tangerine	^$2,588
	Simplii Financial ™	^$2,635
	National Bank	^$2,766

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WATCH: July 24, 2024 Bank of Canada announcement

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5-year variable rates: Frequently asked questions

What is the best 5-year variable mortgage rate in Canada?

As of July 26, 2024, the best high-ratio, 5-year variable rate in Canada was 5.45%. To see today's rates, visit our rate table to see the 5-year variable mortgage rates offered by Canada’s Big Banks and top lenders.

To get a personalized mortgage quote, click on the preceding link and enter some basic information (i.e. down payment amount, purchase price, location) so we can give you a more accurate quote within 2 minutes.

Why did variable rates go up so much in 2022 and 2023?

Variable mortgage rates are directly correlated with the Overnight Lending Rate set by the Bank of Canada, which in turn sets the benchmark for the Prime rate in Canada. The latter is then used by consumer lenders when setting the pricing of their variable mortgage rates.

The Overnight Lending Rate was increased aggressively by the BoC over the last two years; the central bank increased this target rate seven times in 2022, and an additional three times in 2023, bringing the total to a historic 10 rate hikes – the steepest monetary policy tightening cycle in Canada’s history. In all, the increases brought the BoC’s rate from its pandemic-era low of 0.25%, to 5%, where it remains today. As a result, Canada’s prime rate is currently 7.2%.

As variable mortgage rates are calculated as a discount from the prime rate, lenders responded to these increases by raising variable mortgage rates in kind; according to Ratehub.ca’s historical rate database, the lowest five-year variable mortgage rate available in 2022 was 0.89%. In sharp contrast, that has increased to 5.95% as of early 2024.

These rate hikes were in response to rampant inflation growth, which soared to a 40-year high of 8.1% in June 2022. This was mainly due to price increases as a result of the supply-chain challenges that had built up during the pandemic, as well as renewed consumer demand for dining, travel, and other services. The latest inflation report from Statistics Canada indicates inflation growth came in at 3.1% in November – promising progress, but still higher than the 2% target range desired by the BoC.

Will variable mortgage rates continue to go down in 2024?

Variable mortgage borrowers will be relieved to know that mortgage rates are continuing to fall. With the Bank of Canada having implemented a rate cut of -0.25% at its most recent announcement on July 24 – its second consecutive rate cut since March 2020 – Canada’s prime rate dropped from 6.95% to 6.7%. In consequence, the prime rates of banks across the country and their variable mortgage rates fell almost immediately. While it’s impossible to predict rate direction with certainty, most market observers are predicting another rate cut in September, barring any major surprises.

In commentary released on July 24, 2024, the BoC’s Governing Council wrote that inflation was on a downward trajectory, and not only had Canada’s June CPI of 2.7% aligned with expectations, but inflation was declining in the United States and elsewhere as well. While the Bank reaffirmed its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians, it is highly likely that, should inflation keep trending downwards, we’ll see more rate cuts in 2024.

As long as current trends persist, it’s likely the central bank will keep cutting rates over the rest of 2024 and into 2025, perhaps by as much as 200 basis points (including June and July’s cuts), spread over five to six rate cuts. Should that materialize, Canada’s prime rate and lenders’ variable mortgage rates will be cut further in response.

Should I switch my variable-rate mortgage to a fixed-rate mortgage if the prime rate increases?

You may be thinking about locking in a fixed rate because the prime rate increased throughout 2022 and 2023, and your variable rate has moved higher. However, it’s important to note that fixed rates have been increasing significantly as well. Therefore, you have to choose between a variable or fixed rate based on the current rate environment and your decision should come down to your appetite for risk and your household finances.

The Bank of Canada reduced its target for the overnight rate from 4.75% to 4.5% at its last announcement on July 24, citing falling inflation in Canada as well as the US and elsewhere as its primary reason for doing so. In its accompanying commentary, the Bank reaffirmed its resolve to tamp inflation down to its 2% target, but struck an optimistic tone about being able to do so.

Before switching your mortgage, the main thing to consider is the spread between your current variable rate and the best fixed or variable rate you can get today.

Read: Should you switch from a variable-rate to a fixed-rate mortgage?

Read: Think mortgage rates will drop? The argument for getting a variable rate now

If the spread between your current rate and the best rate you can get today is greater than the amount by which you believe the prime rate will increase for the rest of your mortgage term, then you may end up saving more by keeping your current variable rate.

If the discount to prime of the best variable rate you can get today is bigger than your current variable rate, then switching to a new variable rate may afford you more savings and provide a greater cushion against further rate increases.

If you believe that you can save more money by breaking your current variable rate, make sure to account for the cost of breaking your mortgage. You can use Ratehub’s penalty calculator to help you estimate this cost.

Lastly, if your biggest concern is the change to your monthly mortgage payments, there are some lenders who offer variable rates with “fixed” mortgage payments that do not change during the term. In such cases, when prime goes up, your monthly payment remains the same but the percentage of your payment that goes towards your principal decreases. This means that more of your payment goes towards paying the increased interest and ultimately it may take you longer to pay back your mortgage amount in full. That said, you should be aware that these types of mortgages are subject to hitting what is known as the trigger rate, wherein your payments are no longer going to the principal, and may not even be covering the costs of interest in full. Once this happens, you go into what’s called ‘negative amortization’, where you are actually losing equity that you’ve built up in your home. This can lead to you reaching your trigger point, where your payments are so much less than even the cost of interest on your mortgage loan that you need to increase them. Trigger points vary from lender to lender, and are spelled out in your mortgage contract.

Is it worth getting a variable-rate mortgage?

Whether or not a variable-rate mortgage is right for you depends on your risk tolerance as a borrower. Because variable-rate borrowing product rates are determined as either a plus or minus from the Prime rate, they fluctuate whenever the Bank of Canada makes a change to its trend-setting Overnight Lending Rate. This means it’s possible that a borrower would see their interest rate and their payment increase over the course of their mortgage term, should the Bank of Canada hike its rate during that time frame. As well, variable borrowers who have a fixed-payment schedule would see less of their payment go toward their principal mortgage loan in this scenario, which could put them at risk of hitting their trigger rate, and their mortgage negatively amortizing.

With the BoC having now carried out its second rate cut in a row on July 24 (after not having done so for over four years prior to the first rate cut implemented on June 5), the strong current consensus among investors and market analysts is that the BoC will implement further rate cuts through the latter half of 2024, and throughout 2025. Some forecasts have called for as many as five to six cuts before the BoC is through, totalling 200 basis points (this total includes the June and July rate cuts). While it’s impossible to know for sure that rate cuts will materialize as expected, borrowers who are willing to absorb the risks associated with variable rates may enjoy lower rates in the near future.

Variable mortgage rate products also offer greater flexibility; unlike fixed-rate mortgages, which incur a hefty interest-rate-differential penalty when broken, a variable-rate mortgage term can be ended before renewal time for just three months’ of interest. Most mortgage lenders can also convert an existing variable rate into a fixed-rate option at the borrower’s request, without penalty.

Also read: Think mortgage rates will drop? The argument for getting a variable rate now

What impact do elevated variable rates have on the stress test?

Variable mortgage rates remain high from a historical perspective, which in turn increases the mortgage stress test threshold borrowers must prove they can pass when qualifying for a mortgage.

the qualifying rate (currently 5.25%), or
your contract rate + 2%

As of July 25, 2024, the lowest 5-year variable rate available in Canada is 5.45% and the lowest 5-year fixed rate in Canada is 4.54%. As such, both variable rates and fixed rates are now stress tested using your contract rate +2% as this will always end up being higher than the current qualifying rate of 5.25%. Today’s mortgage stress test starts in the mid-7 - 8% range for many borrowers.

What is Canadian Lender and Big 6 Bank?

On our rate comparison tables, Ratehub.ca features generic brands like “Canadian Lender”. The “Canadian Lender” rate represents the lowest rate our brokerage can offer among the different lenders we work with. This means that this rate can be from a Big Bank, trust company, or lending company. The reason we do not advertise the rate under the name of the actual lender offering it, is because the rate is only available through our brokerage, via a special volume discount or promotion.

Similarly, “Big 6 Bank” is another generic provider that is used to advertise the lowest Big Bank rate that the Ratehub.ca brokerage can offer.

5-year variable rates vs. 5-year fixed rates

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A guide to 5-year variable mortgage rates

Jamie David, Sr. Director of Marketing and Mortgages

July 25, 2024

July 24, 2024 Bank of Canada announcement update

On July 24 2024, the Bank of Canada lowered its target for the overnight rate by -0.25%, taking it from 4.75% to 4.5%. This marks the second consecutive rate cut implemented by the Bank since March 2020, following June’s quarter-point cut.

The Bank of Canada indicated that the ongoing decline of inflation drove its decision to cut its benchmark rate. June’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 2.7%, in line with expectations, while inflation has been declining in the United States and elsewhere as well.
This is yet more good news that Canadians with variable-rate mortgages and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) have been waiting for, as their rates and payments will finally begin to decrease.
Fixed mortgage rates are not tied directly to the Bank of Canada’s rate decisions, but rather to the bond market. In anticipation of a potential rate cut, however, some lenders had already begun to lower their fixed mortgage rates. Now that the rate cut is official, we can expect more lenders to follow suit.
It will be interesting to see whether this announcement has a significant impact on the Canadian housing market, which has been rather lacklustre for much of 2024. Although this is only a -0.25% rate cut, we saw a small bump in activity in the wake of June’s similarly-sized rate cut, so there is potential for this to bring buyers in off the sidelines.

July 2024: Mortgage market update

The housing market in Canada has seen a rather quiet year so far, as buyers are staying on the sidelines in anticipation of lower rates. With the Bank of Canada having implemented its first policy rate cut since March 2020 in June (-0.25%) and further cuts broadly expected, it is possible that home sales will finally start to pick up.

Variable mortgage rates have fallen in proportion to the Bank of Canada’s June rate cut, and, with another rate cut anticipated in July, further downward pressure on rates is on the horizon.

Fixed rates are tied to bond yields, which have tumbled to the 3.3% range in the wake of the Bank of Canada’s rate cut and a number of economic reports from Canada and the US. As a result, fixed mortgage rates have decreased slightly as well.

Overall, though, when looked at from a historical perspective, both fixed and variable mortgage rates are currently elevated. Anyone shopping for a mortgage rate in Canada today should be aware of the economic factors below.

Real estate update: On July 12, 2024, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) came out with the latest housing market figures for the month of June 2024. The most recent numbers reveal that the national housing market enjoyed a bit of a bounce from May to June, with some buyers drawn in from the sidelines by the Bank of Canada’s June 5 rate cut. As a result, the 45,654 home sales across Canada in June represent a 3.7% increase from the previous month, although still down by -9.4% from June 2023. On the other hand, sellers continue to list their properties in droves, with new listings jumping by a whopping 26% on an annual basis. With relatively slow sales and abundant supply, Canadians who are ready to buy can do so in balanced market conditions, as the national sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) came in at 53.9% in June. CREA uses the SNLR to gauge competition in the marketplace, with 45-65% indicating a balanced market, with above and below that range indicating sellers’ and buyers’ markets, respectively. The same dynamic that has pushed down the SNLR has also caused the national average home price to fall on an annual basis, with June’s figure of $696,179 representing a -1.6% decline year over year.

Read more: Rate cut leads to small June jump for national home sales
CPI update: The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading from Statistics Canada for the month of June saw headline inflation come in as expected at 2.7%, -0.2% less than the previous month’s year-over-year reading. The fall in the nation’s CPI has been attributed in no small part to lower gas prices, which rose just 0.4% in June (in stark contrast to the 5.6% rise recorded in May). Durable goods also saw a price decline of -1.8%, which in turn pulled down the price of the all-items CPI. On the other hand, grocery prices rose for the second month in a row, rising by 2.1% in June compared to 1.5% the previous month. June saw shelter inflation drop, if slightly, falling to 6.2% from 6.4% in May. The Bank of Canada’s June 5th rate cut was seen clearly in reduced mortgage interest costs, which dropped from 23.3% in May to 22.3% in June. Rent costs, which are also a part of shelter costs, saw only a tiny decline of -0.1%, remaining elevated at 8.8%. Two of the Bank’s most closely monitored measures of core inflation, known as the CPI Trim and CPI median, rose at a slower pace than in previous months, at 2.6% and 2.9%, respectively.

2024 Housing market forecast

With the Bank of Canada now expected to implement fewer rate cuts than previously expected, a rapid rise in housing supply and weak demand, CREA has updated its housing market forecast for the second half of 2024 and 2025.

CREA is now expecting some 472,395 homes to sell over the remainder of 2024, up by 6.1% from the previous year. This has been revised downward from the initial forecast of 492,083 home sales, which would mark a 10.5% increase.

The association is projecting a 6.2% rise in sales in 2025, with 501,902 properties expected to change hands, spurred by declining interest rates and rising demand. CREA had earlier predicted a 7.8% increase, or 530,494 sales.

Lastly, the national average home price is expected to rise by a total of 2.5% in 2024 to reach $694,393 before increasing by a further 5% in 2025, hitting $729,319. CREA initially predicted growth of 4.9% in 2024 (for an average home price of $710,120) and 7% in 2025 (for an average home price of $760,120).

Best 5-year variable mortgage rates +

Rate	Term	Type	Provider
5.45%	5 years	Variable	Canadian Lender
5.60%	5 years	Variable	Canwise
5.65%	5 years	Variable	CMLS Financial
5.75%	5 years	Variable	Big 6 Bank
5.75%	5 years	Variable	First National

5-year variable mortgage rates: Quick facts

Variable mortgage rates fluctuate with the prime lending rate.
Variable rates are typically stated as "prime plus or minus a percentage".
Some 5.36% of all mortgage requests made to Ratehub.ca from January - December 2023 were for 5-year variable-rate mortgages.
5-year fixed mortgage rates are driven by 5-year government bond yields.
23% of consumers opted for a variable-rate mortgage in 2024, down from 27% in 2023. (Source: 2024 CMHC Mortgage Consumer Survey)

Historical 5-year variable mortgage rates

Checking historical mortgage rates is a great way to properly understand which mortgage terms attract lower rates and whether rates are especially high or low at any given moment. Here are the lowest 5-year variable rates of the year in Canada for the last several years, compared to several other types of mortgage rates.

Source: Ratehub Historical Rate Chart

The popularity of 5-year variable mortgage rates

Although fixed-rate mortgages are more popular, according to Mortgage Professionals Canada, 25% of Canadian mortgage-holders had variable-rate mortgages at the end of 2022, making it the second most popular type of mortgage.

Historically, fixed rates are generally more popular, however, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of Canada cut its target overnight lending rate in March 2020, which caused the prime rate to go down. As a result, variable-rate mortgages experienced a surge in popularity; as mentioned above, roughly 25% of all mortgages in Canada at the end of 2022 were variable-rate mortgages, in contrast to 20% in 2019. However, as variable-rate mortgages have climbed to rates significantly higher than fixed-rate mortgages in the wake of multiple Bank of Canada rate hikes over the course of 2022, their popularity has waned considerably in 2023. While some 26% of all rate inquiries to Ratehub.ca in 2022 were for 5-year variable rates, they accounted for just 5.36% of all rate requests to Ratehub in 2023. Moreover, according to the 2024 CMHC Mortgage Consumer Survey, 23% of consumers opted for a variable-rate mortgage in 2024 (down from 27% in 2023). The table below, sourced from the same survey, shows the popularity of fixed-rate mortgages in 2024 among the four main categories of people who contracted mortgages.

First-time home buyers	Repeat buyers	Renewers	Refinancers
20%	21%	22%	28%

A 5-year mortgage term is the most popular duration. It sits right in the middle of available mortgage term lengths, between one and 10 years, and, thus, its popularity reflects a risk-neutral average. It also tends to be heavily promoted by major lenders. A further breakdown of mortgage terms shows that about 80% of mortgages have terms of five years or less.

What drives changes in 5-year variable mortgage rates?

As previously mentioned, the 5-year variable mortgage rate will fluctuate with any movements in the prime lending rate, which is the rate at which banks lend to their best and most credit-worthy customers. The variable mortgage rate is typically stated as prime plus/minus a percentage discount/premium.

Canada’s prime rate is influenced primarily by economic conditions. The Bank of Canada adjusts it depending on the state of the economy, determined by various factors in employment, manufacturing, and exports. Together, these shape the inflation rate. When inflation is high, the Bank of Canada must act to avert an over-stimulated economy. They will increase the prime rate to make the act of borrowing money more expensive.

Conversely, in cases where inflation is low, the Bank of Canada will decrease the prime rate to stimulate the economy and improve the attractiveness of borrowing. The discount/premium on the prime rate applied to the variable mortgage rate is set by the banks, based on their rate strategy and desired market share.

See today's best mortgage rates

Compare current mortgage rates across the Big 5 Banks and top Canadian lenders. Take 2 minutes to answer a few questions and discover the lowest rates available to you.

4.44%

Best fixed rate in Canada

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The bottom line: Should you get a 5-year variable rate?

As long as you're comfortable with risk and understand that variable rates can fluctuate throughout your term, then a 5-year variable rate is a reasonable choice. Since variable rates do have the inherent risk of rate increases, make sure you have enough money in your budget to cover a higher mortgage payment if rates increase.

If you're still not sure about what mortgage product is right for you, it's a good idea to speak to a mortgage broker. Consultations are free, and you'll leave with expert advice, personalized to you.

For more information, check out these helpful pages!

Ratehub.ca education centre

Buying
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Renewing
If your current mortgage is up within four months, now's the time when most lenders will allow you to start the early mortgage renewal process.
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Refinancing
When deciding whether or not, you should refinance your current mortgage and replace it with a new one, there are a few important things to consider.
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